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2026 ¹ú²úÍâÁ÷ÍøDraft: Compensatory pick projections for every team

It has become obvious over the last few years that in many cases, teams are factoring compensatory picks in the next season's draft into the roster-building process. Teams will make mid-year additions or sign players to one-year deals, understanding that the moves could turn into future compensatory picks. Pay them now and receive a bonus pick later.

So, how do compensatory picks work?

The number of compensatory picks allotted each year is limited to the number of teams in the league (32), per the collective bargaining agreement. However, compensatory picks are not divided up equally among the teams, and no team can receive more than four compensatory picks in a single year. Teams that end up with more qualifying free agents lost than gained in a particular year are eligible to receive compensatory selections. A team that lost as many qualifying free agents as it gained might be eligible to receive a Round 7 compensatory pick, based on the value of the qualifying free agents it lost versus the value of the qualifying free agents it gained.

Teams are awarded compensatory draft picks between Rounds 3 and 7 based on a league formula that takes into account a player's average salary per year (APY), snap count and postseason awards. While there is an expected level of compensation for a player based on the amount he has signed for, his playing time (or lack thereof) in the upcoming season could alter the expectation.

In November of 2020, the ¹ú²úÍâÁ÷Íøannounced it would award two third-round selections (one each in consecutive years) to any team who had a minority coach or executive hired as head coach or general manager by another ¹ú²úÍâÁ÷Íøclub (teams that lost employees to a head coach and general manager position would receive three). Those selections come at the back end of the compensatory picks awarded in the third round. In 2025, the Lions will receive the second of two picks for having former defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn (now the Jets head coach) hired away this year.

The compensatory picks for the 2026 ¹ú²úÍâÁ÷ÍøDraft won't be determined by the ¹ú²úÍâÁ÷ÍøManagement Council's formula until after the 2025 season is over, but in this post, I'll attempt to project who will be receiving compensatory picks next year and the round in which those picks could fall.

Keep in mind: Players need to have been signed as unrestricted free agents before April 28 to qualify for the compensatory-pick formula. Players who were released by their previous team are not eligible for the formula, so they're not included in the key additions here. Note also that players are presented in order of descending APY, according to .

TEAMS PROJECTED TO RECEIVE 4 PICKS


No team has been better at stockpiling compensatory picks than the Ravens, who had the maximum total of four in 2025. They are likely to be awarded four compensatory picks again in 2026. Stephens and Mekari should net fifth-round selections, while Jones could bring a seventh-rounder. Also, I believe White will receive enough playing time in Buffalo to fetch another pick late in Round 7.


Steelers general manager Omar Khan has publicly that adding compensatory picks for the 2026 draft has been part of Pittsburgh’s free agency strategy this year. Khan traded for DK Metcalf and picked up Darius Slay after he had been cut by the Eagles, so neither addition impacts Pittsburgh's haul. The additions of Rudolph and Harrison came at relatively modest contract numbers, canceling out the departures of Jackson and Harris. Moore’s huge contract will earn the Steelers a third-round pick, while the losses of Fields, Wilson and Daniels should push the Steelers into the max number of four selections next year.

TEAMS PROJECTED TO RECEIVE 3 PICKS


Free-agent departures took a bite out of the Jets’ roster, but it also put them in position to gain three compensatory picks. The additions of Fields, Stephens and Cisco will cancel out some of the departures, leaving the Jets with a fourth- and seventh-rounder, at minimum. I believe they will receive an additional seventh-rounder as long as Thomas plays at least a modest amount of snaps for Dallas.


Ojulari and Rodgers will cancel each other out in the formula, but the Eagles should still earn compensatory picks in the third (Williams), fourth (Sweat) and fifth (Becton) rounds.


The 49ers lost substantially more free-agent value than they added in 2025, so the math should work in their favor, with Banks, Ward and Hufanga bringing in a good haul. 

TEAMS PROJECTED TO RECEIVE 2 PICKS


The top two additions and top two losses cancel each other out, earning Denver seventh-rounders for the departures of Dixon and Williams.


The Lions will receive a third-round compensatory pick, thanks to the 2025 hiring of former defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn as Jets head coach. This will be the second of the two picks going to Detroit because of Glenn’s hiring. In addition, Detroit could receive a seventh-round selection based on the disparity in its losses compared with its gains.


The top few losses and signings cancel each other out, which leaves the departures of Flacco and Speed to net seventh-round picks.


A third-round pick should be coming to the Vikings following Darnold’s departure for Seattle, and midseason trade acquisition Robinson could fetch a fifth-rounder after leaving for Houston. Minnesota might have turned a one-year, $10 million contract for Darnold into the top compensatory pick in the 2026 draft, and they are getting 2024 first-round pick J.J. McCarthy back from injury. Well played, Vikings.

TEAMS PROJECTED TO RECEIVE 1 PICK


The Bears have been awarded only one compensatory pick in the past four drafts, but they are in position to pick up one up in 2026. Chicago should net a seventh-rounder for the loss of Jenkins after the top two additions and losses cancel out.


This projection really comes down to Brown. Playing time for him is not guaranteed with the Texans, who drafted Aireontae Ersery in the second round this year. The rookie joins a Houston group at offensive tackle that could include Blake Fisher, Tytus Howard (if he doesn’t play guard), Cam Robinson and Brown. If Brown can make the team and stay active, the Bengals should pick up a seventh-rounder.


We have to travel all the way back to 2017 to find the last draft in which the Cowboys didn’t receive at least one compensatory pick. They should be awarded at least one selection next year (for Lewis) and potentially another, depending on how playing time shakes out for the other players in the mix.


The Chiefs lost one more projected qualifying free agent than they added. Hopkins’ departure to the Ravens on a modest contract should provide Kansas City a seventh-rounder.


The additions of Chinn, Roberts and Stokes are washed out by the losses of Hobbs, Spillane and Deablo, leaving Moehrig’s departure to net a fourth-round pick.


GM Les Snead has had some famous quotes regarding draft picks, but it’s easier to shuffle them around when you are gaining so many compensatory selections. The Rams have been awarded 15 compensatory picks dating back to 2022 thanks to their free-agent maneuvering and the hirings of Brad Holmes (Lions GM) and Raheem Morris (Falcons head coach). In 2026, the Rams are in line for either a sixth- or seventh-round pick, depending on the usage of Robinson by the 49ers.


I’m quite certain the Saints will be happy to receive a fourth-round pick for Adebo, who has started 51 games and posted 10 career interceptions since New Orleans drafted him in the third round back in 2021. The departures of Harris and Valdes-Scantling will be canceled out by the additions of Reid and Cooks.

Teams not projected to receive any compensatory picks: Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Buffalo Bills, Carolina Panthers, Cleveland Browns, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles Chargers, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots, New York Giants, Seattle Seahawks, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee Titans, Washington Commanders.

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